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Is the bull market about to end for Arabica and Robusta Coffee?Spread Edge Capital specializes in seasonal spread trading across a wide variety of commodity markets. A spread trade is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same commodity with different delivery dates. SpreadEdge publishes a weekly Newsletter that provides several seasonal spread trade opportunities every week. Overview Each week the SpreadEdge Newsletter documents an extensive list of seasonal, technical and fundamental indicators for the various commodity markets. This article I will focus on the Coffee markets and review the month-to-date price action, relative price and positioning, and the daily and monthly charts. Each of these indicators will be reviewed in the following sections. Month-to-date Closing Prices Closing prices for last Friday 10/11 compared to the last trading day of September. Expiration months are roll adjusted.
Relative Price and Positioning Relative Positioning – Oversold versus Overbought on the horizontal axis. COT current net position compared to the COT data over the past 24 months.
Technical Analysis
Use coupon code “SpreadEdge” and get the Weekly Newsletter and Daily Alerts for $1 for the first month. For a limited time, you can receive my Futures Training Videos for free with a 3-month, 6-month, or 12-month subscription. For a FREE eBook about the SpreadEdge seasonal spread strategy. The SpreadEdge Weekly Newsletter is published every weekend and provides a broad overview of the important seasonal, technical, and fundamental indicators within the Energy, Grains, Meats, Softs, Metals and Currency markets. In addition, spread trade recommendations and follow-up on open trades is also provided. For a free copy of the Weekly Newsletter, please send an email to info@SpreadEdgeCapital.com Darren Carlat SpreadEdge Capital, LLC (214) 636-3133 Darren@SpreadEdgeCapital.com Disclaimer SpreadEdge Capital, LLC is registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is an NFA member. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Futures trading is not suitable for all investors, The risk associated with futures trading is substantial. Only risk capital should be used for these investments because you can lose more than your original investment. This is not a solicitation. On the date of publication, Darren Carlat had a position in: RMF25 . All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here. |
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